Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 2095.331106 2284.272758 2477.363692 2689.166952 2914.674654 3147.309035 3405.143971
2024-10-13 1786.035281 2063.365786 2359.140671 2696.933626 3070.873977 3471.012270 3930.386071
2024-10-20 1586.796867 1915.200425 2276.766676 2702.039754 3186.130406 3717.614059 4342.767374
2024-10-27 1380.441684 1733.052876 2132.433448 2614.463216 3176.510362 3807.197998 4564.287695
2024-11-03 1308.508002 1695.955528 2144.894332 2697.919267 3354.969461 4104.785585 5018.969034
2024-11-10 1231.409441 1644.328019 2132.997404 2746.349687 3487.594512 4346.384667 5408.006462
2024-11-17 1139.687293 1567.077773 2083.407164 2743.293722 3553.846942 4506.464350 5699.442214
2024-11-24 1045.962370 1480.352128 2015.839340 2712.294712 3581.208770 4616.394722 5928.727021
2024-12-01 989.267661 1436.660078 1998.133629 2739.687012 3677.490664 4807.923599 6256.089748
2024-12-08 926.370686 1380.565994 1960.842379 2738.944500 3736.120720 4951.902022 6525.245395
2024-12-15 891.322673 1359.047154 1966.053791 2790.823528 3860.000850 5176.382235 6894.682717
2024-12-22 834.195304 1303.986885 1924.113114 2778.737768 3900.232429 5295.392231 7133.141598
2024-12-29 808.432856 1291.749028 1939.293892 2842.772259 4040.942334 5544.779979 7541.097927
2025-01-05 763.993771 1250.734728 1913.633299 2851.055198 4108.522348 5701.947357 7834.834210
2025-01-12 722.121331 1210.860434 1887.264973 2856.388232 4170.808903 5851.770218 8119.760581
2025-01-19 651.598476 1124.930224 1792.861308 2764.962390 4100.828009 5827.835770 8179.770744
2025-01-26 642.981738 1130.832554 1827.761554 2852.087350 4271.267832 6118.345909 8648.292653
2025-02-02 623.737794 1119.351629 1836.854760 2902.634780 4392.214975 6344.835460 9035.700719
2025-02-09 589.943355 1083.484979 1808.912686 2899.445488 4438.688540 6472.632952 9294.690897
2025-02-16 550.251430 1036.110299 1761.953755 2867.092093 4443.239993 6543.544024 9478.469493
2025-02-23 529.682899 1018.181061 1757.799436 2895.681380 4532.271305 6727.985125 9813.834184
2025-03-02 502.709200 988.317435 1734.305581 2894.906458 4579.308014 6855.585636 10074.140228
2025-03-09 491.129432 983.294862 1748.242115 2949.045062 4704.355495 7090.103129 10479.654290